Superbowl Sunday! Who ya got?

Yet another Superbowl Sunday is upon us… may you all eat, drink, and be merry.  Enjoy the game, enjoy the commercials, enjoy the halftime show (yeah, right), and above all, BE SAFE.  Especially if you’re going out to watch the game.

It’s also yet another year that neither one of my teams (Bills, 49ers) has made the big dance.  So, I needed to come up with a couple lists to help me determine my rooting interest.

Reasons to root for Green Bay:

  • Starting running back James Starks is a hometown kid, representing both Niagara Falls and the University at Buffalo
  • The Packers have a long and storied history, and are proof that a small market can be a success in a big-time sports league
  • Green Bay’s starting quarterback isn’t a rapist
  • Green Bay fans aren’t bandwagon jumpers (See: Penguins, Pittsburgh)
  • Aaron Rodgers is possibly the best QB in the league right now (and it kills me that the 49ers picked Alex Smith over him in ’05)
  • Clay Matthews is a scary talent and is probably the best new linebacker in the league since Patrick Willis

Reasons to root for Pittsburgh:

  • Pitt is a blue-collar city just like Buffalo, and is easy to identify with
  • The Steelers have just as much tradition as Green Bay
  • Troy Polamalu’s hair

So based on that, I’m going with Green Bay.  Go Packers!

Dick Jauron fired: My take

The inevitable has finally happened, and Dick Jauron is (mercifully) no longer the head football coach of the Buffalo Bills.  Bills fans are most certainly starting fires and overturning cars in celebration as we speak.

My quick take on what led to Jauron’s downfall:

- Injury mismanagement.  Every team has injuries, but the Bills’ injury problems always seemed worse.  Why?  Because Jauron mismanaged the IR, in part by putting injured players on it in September who were ready to play by November (Crowell last year, Posluszny in his rookie year).  Also, too many non-contact practices leave the team in poor shape to withstand the season.

- Clock mismanagement and bad play-calling.  Jauron simply gave away several games off the top of my head: Denver, season opener ’07; Dallas, MNF ’07; Cleveland, MNF ’08; and the second Jets game last year.  No clock awareness and no ability to make the correct decision at the right time.

- The complete and utter absence of anything resembling a clue on the offensive side of the ball, which in turn led to the inability to develop a quarterback.

- What kind of coach seriously says that  “You better have guys that are self-motivated, because if you have to motivate them, the odds are it’s not going to happen for you”?  A LOSING coach.

Add all this up, and you’ve got a guy who has a 60-82 lifetime coaching record.

Dick Jauron may be a nice person – heck, Chris Berman once said you won’t find a better human being – but he is not a good football coach.  And fortunately, as of now, he’s no longer OUR football coach.

NFL Season Predictions '08

I missed last year, but this year I’m back with a vengeance.  Here are my predicted records for the 2008 NFL season:

AFC EAST
New England 13-3 Easy schedule – 6-0 division and 4-0 vs. NFC very likely.  Should still have enough firepower to dominate.
Buffalo 10-6 Much improved and healthier D, schedule vs. weak NFC West helps.
New York Jets 6-10 Favre is a two-game improvement at best.
Miami 3-13 Parcells or not, still a mess.
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AFC NORTH
Pittsburgh 12-4 Should remain at a high level.
Cleveland 9-7 Questions in secondary. Was ’07 a fluke?
Cincinnati 4-12 Top to bottom, entire organization is a mess.  Bringing back Chris Henry speaks volumes.
Baltimore 4-12 Ravens brought in Joey Harrington for a tryout. That’s all you need to know about the QB situation.
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AFC SOUTH
Indianapolis 12-4 If Manning is healthy, and he looks to be, Indy will continue AFC South dominance.
Jacksonville 11-5 Still not ready to topple the Colts.
Tennessee 10-6 Awesome defense, shaky offense.  Young must continue to improve.
Houston 6-10 Not a terrible team, but stuck in a ferocious division.
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AFC WEST
San Diego 11-5 LT + killer D = another division title.
Denver 9-7 Cutler will break out, but who’s the 1000-yard rusher this year?
Oakland 5-11 Raiders fans likely praying for Al Davis to step down.  Has enough actual talent on offense to win games this year though.
Kansas City 4-12 Another patented Herm Edwards trainwreck.  No QB, no defense, no hope.
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NFC EAST
Dallas 13-3 Best team in NFC by far, and got even better in the draft.
New York Giants 11-5 Major questions on defense with Umenyiora out.
Philadelphia 9-7 Just not good enough in a tough division.  McNabb would love to actually have someone to throw the ball to.
Washington 6-10 New offensive scheme reportedly not clicking yet.  Campbell is a good QB who will thrive eventually.
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NFC NORTH
Minnesota 11-5 Trendy pick for NFC champ this year.  I’m not convinced yet, but they should compete for division title.
Green Bay 11-5 Probably still second-best team in NFC, but Rodgers in place of Favre will cost them a game or two.
Detroit 6-10 I predict that Jon Kitna’s 10-win season still isn’t happening.
Chicago 3-13 Defense may score more than offense will.
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NFC SOUTH
New Orleans 10-6 Last year was an aberration.  Offense should be able to score enough to win. Defense won’t help much.
Tampa Bay 9-7 Average age of the roster is roughly 147.  Still good enough for 2nd place in division.
Carolina 7-9 John Fox joins the unemployment line after this year.  Should be dominant running the ball though.
Atlanta 2-14 Cloud of Michael Vick still hangs over this organization until Ryan can prove himself.
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NFC WEST
Seattle 9-7 The best of a very weak division even with the lack of receiver depth.
St. Louis 9-7 Bulger ready to bounce back, Jackson back in the fold, Saunders now calling the shots on offense.
San Francisco 6-10 Who the hell is JT O’Sullivan?  Good riddance, Mike Nolan.
Arizona 5-11 Don’t get excited, it’s still just Arizona.

Updates

I didn’t have time to get my season predictions in before Week 1, so I’ll be cheating a bit – sort of – when I get around to it, hopefully before Sunday.  Cheating is OK though – just ask Bill Belichick.

I’m still pretty torn up about Kevin Everett.  I’m so glad he’s starting to regain some movement,  but he’s got such a long way to go that anything but cautious optimism is probably misguided.

Some actual positive NFL news for a change

When NFL players change teams, they often want to wear the numbers they’ve been using. The standard practice is for one player to pay money to the current owner of the number for its rights. As if it doesn’t already sound petty that multi-million dollar athletes extort money from one another for such a thing, there was actually a dispute over a number a couple years ago involving current Redskin Clinton Portis and former Redskin Ifeanyi Ohalete. Portis wanted Ohalete’s #26 and they agreed to a certain sum of money, but when Ohalete was cut by the Redskins, Portis stopped paying. (They eventually came to an agreement).

Ahman Green and Jason Simmons of the Houston Texans are apparently above such petty behavior. Green signed with Houston during the current offseason, but his #30 that he’d worn with the Packers for many seasons was already taken by Simmons. When he approached Simmons about a deal for the number, Simmons had a plan. Instead of accepting money, Simmons asked Green to make a $25,000 down payment on a home for a deserving single mom. A search was conducted, a single mother with a 7-year-old autistic son was chosen, and the checks (including a matching $25,000 from Texans owner Bob McNair, one of the classier owners in sports) were presented yesterday in an emotional ceremony.

In a sports world where athletes are routinely involved in criminal activities, such a story makes me happy to be an NFL fan. If only there were more players like Simmons, Green and Warrick Dunn of the Falcons (whose charity work Simmons’ idea just might have been inspired by).

Michael Vick is a scumbag

“I was surprised to see that they were killing dogs by hanging them and one dog was killed by slamming it to the ground. Those are extremely violent methods of execution — they’re unnecessary and just sick.” – John Goodwin of the Humane Society on the allegations against Michael Vick and friends

The quote above is intended to illustrate exactly how serious this situation is. No, Mr. Clinton Portis, it’s not simply a bunch of guys who choose to have a little fun by getting their dogs together for a little playtime. These people are loathsome creatures who murder dogs for profit in vile and gruesome ways.

If Michael Vick is proven to be involved in this dogfighting ring, I hope he’s banned from the NFL for life. He won’t be, of course, but I’d be happy with a year’s suspension. Anything less indicates the NFL treats marquee players differently than the rank-and-file. Time to put your money where your mouth is, Roger.

The full story, including more of the grisly details is right here.

NFL draft wish list

On the eve of the NFL draft, I thought I’d offer my teams a little advice:

San Francisco: You need a wide receiver.  Desperately.  Oakland will probably take JaMarcus Russell, so trade up with Detroit to get Calvin Johnson with the #2 pick.  You have like 4 million picks in the fourth round – package one of them with the #11 overall pick and take advantage of the fact that Matt Millen is a moron.  Please, for the love of all that is holy, give Alex Smith someone to throw the ball to.

Buffalo: Marv, if you manage to pull off the Michael Turner trade, this is easy. His name is Patrick Willis.  If the Turner trade doesn’t happen, then I’m happy with Marshawn Lynch here. Not getting a linebacker or a running back at this spot is criminal.  Please don’t draft a thousand defensive backs like you did last year.

Vince Young will be on the Madden NFL 08 cover

Note to those I play fantasy football with: you can have Vince Young this year. I’m not going anywhere near him.

Four of the last five guys to grace the cover of Madden have gotten significantly injured, missing at least four games – and in most cases, suffered significant statistical dropoff. Michael Vick in 2003 is the best example of this. Shaun Alexander, who had never missed a game due to injury, missed 6 games with a broken foot last year – clearly the football gods were not pleased that he scoffed at the idea of the “Madden Curse“.

Clearly something sinister is afoot here. Don’t doubt the curse!